Can AI Break the Hype Cycle?

Generative AI and its agentic offspring may be foundational technologies, but they are still following the normal technology hype cycle: excitement at the potential, followed by news of failed deployments, followed by a more mature understanding of what’s required for success. The third stage generally comes down to a realization that the main obstacles are organizational, not technical: projects fail due to poor internal alignment, change management, reward systems, and so on. Similarly, when it comes to customer data (and all other business data), there’s a dawning recognition that whether the data resides in a CDP, cloud warehouse, or marketing platform, the real challenge is still transforming raw data into usable information through quality management, unification, and mapping. 

We’re just beginning to see the third-stage insights from the industry’s more advanced thinkers. It's true that they’re important: the only way people will be convinced to address these issues is by seeing real data and hearing about actual experience. But they are also utterly predictable. 

What’s less predictable is that AI has the potential to remove those barriers. If AI radically changes how work gets done, then the organizational structures designed for existing business processes (and blocking progress) will change as well. For data, AI could – at least in theory – handle preparation tasks that have always been the main roadblocks to deployment. 

These are not subtle ideas and I don’t consider them particularly brilliant insights. But I also don’t see them being discussed (at least explicitly). Instead, most of the AI conversation is still about using AI to replace individual tasks within existing workflows or about creating AI-based workflows within existing organizational structures. What I’m suggesting is a clearer focus on using AI to remove the traditional roadblocks to technology deployment: in addition to redesigning organizations around AI capabilities (with a particular focus on accommodating future change), this might also mean developing AI coaches to help existing organizations with change management. For data management, it means developing AI tools to automate end-to-end data preparation. 

I will somewhat airily leave the details to people who make their living helping organizations with technology management; they will no doubt have many more and better ideas than I can offer here. My goal is simply to convince them to adopt roadblock removal as a conscious objective in their work. This is what will empower AI to deliver the fundamental changes that we all see as its potential.